Talking Tactics | Sheffield Wednesday v Swansea City
Football stats experts WhoScored.com take a look at Jamal Lowe following his weekend brace at Millwall, and assess the impact he could make in Tuesday's clash with Sheffield Wednesday.
What a confidence boost a win can prove to be. Swansea were superb at Millwall on Saturday as they ended their four-game losing run to secure maximum points at The Den to boost their promotion hopes.
They are still 10 points behind second-placed Watford ahead of this midweek's rescheduled trip to Sheffield Wednesday, but victory at Hillsborough would see them leapfrog play-off rivals Brentford into third.
Crucially, though, a win would open up a nine-point gap between themselves and Reading in seventh and - with five full game weeks of the campaign to go - would put them within striking range of sealing a play-off finish.
Sheffield Wednesday currently sit second from bottom and seven points from safety as a heavy 4-1 defeat to QPR hurt their chances of avoiding the drop into League One. However, as poor as the Owls have been on the road this season, their form on home turf has been decent.
Of the 35 points they have earned this season, 27 have come in Yorkshire and they recently romped to a 5-0 win over Swansea's arch rivals Cardiff to end a four-game winless run on home turf. That being said, despite the Swans' recent downturn in form, they still boast one of the best away records in the division.
Only league leaders Norwich (45) and Brenford (36) have earned more away points than Swansea (34) in the Championship this season and the Swans have a decent record at Hillsborough, losing just one of their last five visits to Sheffield Wednesday, and are unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 competitive meetings with the Owls.
After his brace at Millwall, Jamal Lowe will be looking to extend his strong away record this season. Of the 11 goals the summer arrival has scored this term, eight have come on the road; only four players have netted more in the Championship.
That said, while Sheffield Wednesday are stuck in the bottom three, their defensive record at home has been impressive. Only Norwich (10), Watford and Swansea (both 12) have conceded fewer home goals than the Owls (14) this season and this steadfast resolve is one of the reasons they are still in with a chance of consolidating a Championship spot.
However, after ending his barren run, Lowe will be hungry for more goals. Steve Cooper used the 26-year-old from out wide in a 4-3-3 setup against Millwall to good effect and this deployment on the flank could reap the rewards once more in midweek.
One of Sheffield Wednesday's statistically calculated WhoScored.com weaknesses is 'defending against attacks down the wings', while the WhoScored.com match forecast suggests that it is Very Likely that Swansea 'will score from a wingplay situation'.
Playing from the wing, it may benefit Lowe once again as he looks to add to his 11 league goals in 2020-21. If he does again start from the left, then he'll look to maximise the space between Sheffield Wednesday wing-back Liam Palmer and centre-back Osaze Urhoghide. The latter endured his second worst rated performance of the season against QPR as he came away from the clash with a WhoScored.com rating of just 5.68.
In his home outings, Urhoghide has been solid and will look to bounce back from his weekend disappointing.
Lowe, on the other hand will be looking to pick up where he left off at Millwall and help the Swans to three more valuable points.